05 Sep How’s the Weather?
I have been wondering about all of the coverage we have been watching on the Weather Channel. I am not making any judgments, mind you, as we have watched plenty about Hurricane Dorian for what seems like weeks. Whether you and I are watching the television or checking the apps on our phones, many of us have been glued to the images and stories, trying to get an understanding of what is happening and what will happen.
Meteorologists get it wrong…but not as much as we like to think. I read an article recently from meteorologist Brad Panovich from 2014 about the accuracy of meteorologists. He started off with a joke from Bill Murray that sums up public perception: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me 335,000 times, you are a weather man.” Yep…that about does it…but not really.
Panovich started by comparing medical doctors with meteorologists, showing that doctors misdiagnose 44% of cancers and other illnesses 26% of the time. He cites data that shows over 20 years, meteorologists were 70% accurate on predicting tornadoes—where a warning matched up with a tornado touching down.
Panovich further confirmed the flawed perspective by evaluating his own 24-hour forecasts. He was right 94% of the time. That means he predicted the right forecast 339 days of the year. Of course, people only remember the 26 days…what 6% adds up to over a year. It seems we like to know what is going to happen, and we do not like incorrect predictions.
Jesus talked about signs in Matthew 16:1-4. The Pharisees wanted a sign from heaven, and Jesus started talking about the weather. He said you see a red sky and know if the day or the night will have good weather, but you are not connected with God. Jesus explains that we are good at predicting the weather, but we do not understand the evidence of our relationship with Him. I think I like the hurricane watch better than that idea.
God knows we want to know what is about to happen, but God wants us thinking more about eternity. We need to move from immediate gratification to eternal happiness. We need to start asking how this day will impact my relationship with God. Are we making daily decisions that get us through this day or this month at the cost of getting us through the gates of heaven? Distractions can keep our eyes off the prize and prevent us from reaching our goals.
Are we making preparations? Do we need to change our focus from getting through the day to getting things done for God? It begins by bringing people into our lives who will help us do the latter. God knows we need it. I hope to see you on Sunday to learn about how important it is to have the right people in our lives, speaking with voices that need to be heard.
Blessings to you,